Post Netherlands’ Election: What Happened?

Leading up to the Netherlands’ election, pundits and analysts were arguing why Europe is turning towards right-wing populism and less-open foreign policies because of pressures of immigration and economic stagnation. Headlines went as far as to suggest that the European …
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Trump’s New World Order?

The foreign policy platform, actions and even tweets of US President Donald Trump do not occur in an isolated bubble. They have a domino affect on the world system, economies, currencies, along with the policies of allies and adversaries. There …
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All down the rabbit hole?: The global stage in 2017

2016 was a tumultuous year, with the foundations of democracy shaken by Brexit, the Italian referendum, the Brazilian impeachment and the election of Donald Trump in the United States. The Middle East crisis, immigration, the South China Sea, and the …
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Italy – The Precipice?

Italy is once again facing a political crisis. Since the end of WWII Italy has had 63 governments. Paolo Gentilioni will lead the 64th government following the defeat of the December 4th Constitutional referendum and Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s resignation. …
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The Fall of Rome?

The year of 2016 has been characterised by a multitude of unexpected events from the likes of Brexit to the victory of Donald Trump in the United States. Italy could be the next shock to the political and economic foundations …
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New question collection: Trump’s World

Are you wondering what impact Donald Trump’s election might have on the world? So is the Almanis crowd… We’ve posted a new collection called Trump’s World to explore the possibilities: “The election of Donald Trump, a real-estate mogul with no …
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A Forecaster's Guide: Leading the Crowd

Last week I promised to speak a little about how to win more points by taking a dynamic approach to forecasting, making frequent and multiple forecasts on the same question. The principle is that you can book a profits on …
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A Forecaster's Guide: Trump in Utah

almanis market: Who will win the state of Utah in the 2016 presidential election? Utah is one of the most Republican states in the US and hasn’t voted for a Democratic presidential nominee since Lyndon B. Johnson’s carried all but …
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